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Child poverty rates highest in states that haven鈥檛 raised minimum wage

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Of the 20 states that have failed to raise the minimum wage above the federal $7.25 an hour standard, 17 have more than 12% of their children living in poverty, according to a States 太子探花room analysis of wage and poverty data. Anti-poverty advocates say that鈥檚 a sign that there鈥檚 an urgent need for lawmakers to increase the federal minimum wage and do more to help struggling families.

Congress had the opportunity to achieve the latter by expanding the child tax credit before the end of the year, but Democratic lawmakers聽聽with Republicans to include it in the omnibus spending package. The expansion, which was part of the American Rescue Plan, provided as much as $3,600 in monthly installments to qualifying families and is credited with lifting聽聽at least temporarily.

Raising the minimum wage would not lead to as fast or drastic an improvement, but a 2019聽聽found that increasing the amount to $15 an hour would lift more than 500,000 children from poverty. And the Economic Policy Institute聽聽in 2021 that if Congress passed a $15 minimum wage increase by 2025, up to 3.7 million people wouldn鈥檛 have to live in poverty 鈥 1.3 million of those being children.

Ben Zipperer, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute, said there is a strong connection between the minimum wage and poverty.

鈥淚t鈥檚 not a 1-1 connection, but there is a pretty strong connection,鈥 said Zipperer, whose expertise is on the minimum wage, inequality, and low-wage labor markets. 鈥淭he main determinants of poverty in this country are whether you work and how much you work, so whether you have a job during the year and how many hours a week or weeks per year you work at that job. 鈥 And then the third [determinant] is how much you were paid for an hour of work at your job. If you鈥檙e getting paid relatively low wages, the minimum wage affects that.鈥

Congress last raised the minimum wage in 2009, but聽, including Maryland, now require employers pay more than the federal standard, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures. Numerous municipalities have also passed living wage laws for city or county workers.

, including聽, , 听补苍诲听, will raise their state鈥檚 minimum wage in 2023, after passing legislation or聽聽ballot measures that gradually increase the state minimum wage over several years or tie it to inflation. Washington ($15.74), California ($15.50) and Massachusetts ($15) will have some of the highest state minimum wages in 2023, although the high cost of living in those states mitigates the effect on poverty rates.

Maryland鈥檚 minimum wage is also going up on Jan. 1 鈥 to $13.25 an hour for businesses with 15 or more employees and $12.80 an hour for businesses with 14 or fewer. The state is scheduled to hit a $15 an hour minimum wage for larger businesses in 2025 and for smaller businesses in 2026 鈥 but Gov.-elect Wes Moore (D) has suggested he would like to accelerate that timeline.

In Missouri, where the minimum wage will be $12 next year, a 2018聽聽from the Economic Policy Institute found that Proposition B, the ballot measure that is responsible for raising the wage, would increase wages for 677,000 people in Missouri.

States where legislatures have not raised the minimum above the federal $7.25 an hour include Mississippi, Louisiana, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Kentucky, Arkansas, North Carolina and South Carolina. All have child poverty rates of 20% or higher, 聽U.S. Census data analyzed by 24/7 Wall Street, a financial news site. Mississippi has the highest child poverty rate in the United States, at 27.6%, with Louisiana following at 26.3%.

Zipperer said that many of these low minimum wage states are concentrated in the Southern United States for a reason. He pointed to the political deals lawmakers made to聽聽of 1930s labor rights gains, which were done for the benefit of Southern Democrats.

鈥淭hat legacy of racism plagued the initial years of the national minimum wage and labor law generally in the United States, and while it was somewhat improved and overcome through the civil rights movement, you see the parallel to that now where you have a lot of places in the South that don鈥檛 have minimum wages and or have very low minimum wages, and so they follow the federal standard which Congress has refused to raise over the past 13 years,鈥 he said.

He added, 鈥淭hat kind of decline in the cost-of-living adjusted value of the minimum wage disproportionately harms the people who are paid the lowest wages in the U.S. economy and because of our sexist and racist labor market, that is women and people of color.鈥

In Louisiana, for instance, 64% of women of color earn less than $15 an hour, while 58% of Black workers and 50% of Hispanic workers also earn less than $15 an hour, according to聽鈥檚 analysis of U.S. Census data.

The results of that disparity can be seen in an analysis of data on Lousianans鈥 standard of living done by Talk Poverty, a project of the Center for American Progress. It聽:

  • 19% of people in Louisiana had incomes below the poverty line in 2019.
  • 20% of working age women and 29% of Black Lousianans in 2019 lived below the poverty line.
  • Louisiana ranked 42nd in the nation in high school graduation rates and 45th in higher education attainment during the 2017-2018 school year.
  • In 2018, 20% of young people aged 18 to 24 without high school degrees were not in school or working.
  • From 2017 to 2019, 15.3% of Louisiana households were food insecure.

Peter Robins-Brown, executive director of Louisiana Progress, said several factors contribute to the number of Louisianans living in poverty. Louisiana hasn鈥檛 prioritized putting funding into programs that would provide economic relief, has focused its tax reform on benefits for the wealthy and for businesses, and has a particularly unjust criminal justice system that punishes the poor, he said.

鈥淪ocial services in Louisiana are largely underfunded, making it easier for generational poverty to continue,鈥 Robins-Brown said.

The state also favors聽聽over tenants rights and people living in the southern parts of the state that experience the most severe weather disasters have to live with聽聽for homeowners insurance, which further contribute to economic inequality, Robins-Brown explained.

Although Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards is a Democrat, and has expressed support for聽, both chambers of the Louisiana Legislature are controlled by Republicans. Louisiana is one of聽聽without a process for citizens to offer ballot initiatives and voter referendums.

鈥淏oth the House and Senate committees that deal with labor issues are low-priority for Republicans and Democrats because industry interests usually predetermine the outcomes in those committees,鈥 Robins-Brown said.

For these reasons, Robins-Brown says Louisianans are depending on the federal government to take action to raise the minimum wage. He said his organization supported expanding the child tax credit because it was been a powerful tool in reducing child poverty.

Congress last聽聽to increase the minimum wage in 2021, when it was proposed as part of a larger pandemic relief package. 聽Senate Republicans and seven Senate Democrats voted against raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2025. The exclusion of the expansion of the child tax credit in Congress鈥 omnibus bill is one more lost chance to reduce child poverty.

鈥淭he child tax credit enormously reduced poverty during the recent expansion of that program and unfortunately that was temporary,鈥 Zipperer said. 鈥淏ut I think that鈥檚 a very clear demonstration that we actually have, to some degree, the capacity to eliminate a lot of poverty in this country. All it takes is overcoming the political opposition to do that.鈥

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